No Bail-out types will be played for suckers

There are a lot of very sensible posters here, some who don't like this deal because of it's basic structure (buying the bad debt) and would instead prefer something either along a loan guarantee or an equity stake or outright buying the mortgages NOT straight up buying the derivative voodoo bundles these geniuses cooked up.

I agree, we need smart people with the correct insights to get involved and structure some kind of package (and, as a very smart poster framed it, STOP calling it a Bail Out and call it a Equity Mortgage and Liquidity Act) and get THE ABILITY to inject liquidity into the market in a hurry... IF needs be.  We need some capability to shore up the credit markets if they start to head south.

I also agree, handing Hank Paulson 700 billion and then going off into happy land is ludicrous.

But, what I am incensed against is, some on the left are doing EXACTLY what the far right is doing: Missing the target of this kind of governmental action, and somehow deluding themselves this a day of reckoning for the fat cats.

Not gonna happen folks, those characters will ride out this storm, hell, most of them will probably come out ahead on the deal.

And, I even hear some people applauding the Republicans who are stonewalling this.

Time to open your eyes: those ideologues are not your friends, or the friend of the workingman, the middle class or the poor.

Let me tell you what their end game is.  It's been hinted at, but today I saw Orrin Hatch out there, spinning a tale, but starting to make clear the meme they will sell and the real slight of hand Republics are willing to play.

First, probably most of them know, this problem is going to land in the lap of the Obama administration; so make no mistake: they want this bill to SUCK, but SUCK to their meet their goals

With a unified front, they are going to try (and that is hopefully my plea that Democrats don't fall for this ruse) and load the bill up with MORE economic voodoo, slash the capital gains taxes, give big taxes breaks to anyone buying some of these dead end leverage bundles, cut business taxes to the bone?

They are going to say "The burden should not be on the tax payers, but let's help American Business get us out of this problem."

And, what will be the end effect in that?

Bankrupt President Obama's ability to provide Health Care, an Alternative Energy Apollo Program will be diminished; force cuts in existing programs due to massively reduced tax revenues.

Basically fulfill Grover Nordquist wet dream, shrink government to the size it can drown in a bathtub by handing President Obama a boat anchor.

So, again, if you dislike this deal, fine.

If you think we need to structure a package away from buying up bad debt appliances that was caused by free market ideologues like Phil Gramm taking the brakes off the car, I agree.

But, the Republicans DON'T want to put the brakes back on the car, they want to leave the brakes off, give it a horsepower increase, and take away the steering wheel!

They win if President Obama faces a massive business crisis.

They win if they are allowed to blackmail the congress into putting massive tax reduction into the package.

They win if lots of little banks fail, and all that is left is a few massive conglomerates.

There is plenty of danger here, but inaction is not a way out of it.

Or letting the Republicans leverage their votes into blackmailing a stealth business give away into this package.

Leverage is how this all got screwed up in the first place!

We need caution, but clear your brains!  This is not some day of reckoning for Wall Street, it's not time to pull some voodoo libertarian free market Ron Paul craziness out of your backside.

We need smart leadership steering us out of this mess. We need congress to act, because both it's inaction and WRONG action (Phil Gramm should be in jail, not in the McCain camp giving out advice) are part and parcel of what caused this anyway.

We need a bill the right bill because inaction has too many consequences that some here are thinking we can just hunker down and ride out.

Now, sure, we can take a deep breath, we have SOME time, but not forever?

I am not sure we can wait past the election, as some have suggested.

The market rebounded today, I expected it to.

But, anyone watching the market bounce up and down are like the doofs on TV last night, not one of them had a clue about liquidity crunches, or what actually causes events like the great depression. All navel gazing idiots focused on the Dow Jones average.

There is still a ticking time bomb out there, and if it explodes, and short term credit dries up, it's the American business sector that will get hammered.

Remember, the thinking from the average man after Black Tuesday was

this isn't about me, I am not in the market, how can I be hurt by this?

It took a war and FDR to repair just how badly they and America was hurt.



Display:


A bail out... (2.00 / 5)

No. A rescue of the failed credit system - hell, yes. You can't fuck with confidence in money, savings, deposits. That was the classic economic liberalism argument in the 30s. Apart from the hyper rich and opportunistic Trotskyist, everyone loses if the whole system fails.

That war you spoke about had origins in a banking crisis. FDR and Truman set up the regulatory authorities that provided the stability for reconstruction. We need that kind of leadership again.  


Now Loose on the Moose
by brit on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 12:32:46 PM EST

Re: A bail out... (none / 0)

There is an amazing radio show that explains these mortage backed securities and why they were SO profitable (they were made to people who were obviously bad credit risks, deliberately marketed to them) guaranteed to fail.http://www.thisamericanlife.org/Radio_Ep isode.aspx?sched=1242

It aired in 2007 but the New York Times has an article about that episode today.. its the best honest description of what happened..

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/29/busine ss/media/29carr.html


Health Care: WHY do we pay MORE and GET LESS?
http://content.healthaffairs.org/cgi/con tent/full/hlthaff.28.1.w1/DC1
by architek on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 05:35:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I enjoy reading some of your posts ... (none / 0)

... and have nothing against you.

But why do you piggyback upthread on every single diary?

It's beyond annoying ( you've "replied" to me about 3 times when I post upthread and it's never directed at me) and a lot of folks will just scroll by when they see your name.

It would be cool if you minded your blog manners and stopped trying to jack threads.

Thanks.


Welcome to a landslide WITH white working class, latinos, women and holding on sweeties!!!
by spacemanspiff on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 06:48:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You have that absolutely right (2.00 / 3)

but we've been agreeing completely on this.  So, no surprise!

Unfortunately, many people are STILL not seeing this as a problem.  The answer I get most often is "so people will have to live within their limits"  ARRRRGGGGHHHHH!!!  It's not just the people overstretched who will be affected!  Why can't people understand that??


by Pa Woman on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 12:55:23 PM EST

Re: You have that absolutely right (2.00 / 4)

Thanks again.

Maybe a lot of them are younger then me, don't remember Stagflation, a REAL downturn in the economy...

I also remember my mom telling me about the great depression.

It is why I am a democrat.

To her, there was Jesus, the Pope, and FDR.

And, not neccesarily in that order!


On Nov 4th, we elected "the smart guy" and the world celebrated!
by WashStateBlue on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 01:07:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Read todays NYT article- it applies.. (none / 0)

Daring to Say Loans Made No Sense


Health Care: WHY do we pay MORE and GET LESS?
http://content.healthaffairs.org/cgi/con tent/full/hlthaff.28.1.w1/DC1
by architek on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 05:37:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You have that absolutely right (2.00 / 3)

Yep. Define "living within your limits" when your company can't make payroll.


by Neef on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 01:13:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Thom Hartmann points out (2.00 / 3)

..a solution that already worked for us in the past, and Wall Street pays for it without much pain.

It's so simple I'm banging my head against the wall that these Democratic dupes aren't considering it.


by rhetoricus on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 01:02:08 PM EST

Re: Thom Hartmann points out (2.00 / 2)

Very interesting stuff.

Rereading your diary now.


On Nov 4th, we elected "the smart guy" and the world celebrated!
by WashStateBlue on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 01:08:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Wrong motives, right move (2.00 / 4)

If applauding these guys causes them to dig in their heals, I'm for it. Our Democratic leadership is in a position of strength and should be using that to craft a progressive bill to address that, not to window-dress an executive powergrab.

Make no mistake, it is window dressing. The "oversight"? Paulson can request the money as quickly as he wants. As soon as he does, Congress has 15 days to vote against it. Bush can veto that vote at any point without resetting that countdown. If they don't over-rule him with a 2/3 majority (ha!) before the end of the fifteenth day, then the money goes out and that is that.

The limits on executive pay? A joke. They only limit severence and only on new contracts and only for two years. Pathetic. A cute gesture. Now I don't feel we need to be focused on being punitive, but let's get real if that is one of our stated goals: this is an attempt to distract the voter and nothing more. It'll make campaign ads a lot easier. "Pelosi voted for limits on CEO golden parachutes. I'm Nancy Pelosi and I approve this pander."

The Bill hasn't had time to be vetted by the press and the people. And why? Because of an artificial doomsday date. The amount of money and the do-or-die date were both pulled out of this administration's ass. Wanna know why the market tanked on Monday? It's not because there was no bill; it's because there was no bill and people were expecting one. Bush and McCain's theatrics and our complicity allowing them to claim that the world was ending without being critical of that claim created, not predicted, the Monday crisis.

Repeat after me:

This.
Bill.
Is.
A.
Joke.

It's a blatant power grab that still lacks any meaningful oversight or spending guidelines. The best any Democrat in the senate has been able to say is that it "Give Henry Paulson the freedom to pursue a better tactic than the proposed one." The freedom? Oh good, because I'm certain this unelected Goldman Sach's shareholding Bush appointee is sure to take a measured approach to this crisis that has our best interests at heart.

Pathetic.

I hope that the Republican's manage to put this on hold until an Obama administration. I hope that we as Democrats take ownership of this recovery the way the Republicans are having to take ownership of the crash. I'm not willing to ransom the progressive agenda to the tune of 700 billion dollars to the Bush administration, and I'm certainly not willing to take the fall for their bad bill.

Fuck that. Can I say that here? Fuck that. FDR was offered an acting Presidency by Hoover months early. He turned it down, and Hoover certainly did manage to cause a fair bit of suffering with his poor leadership in the interim. What he accomplished by this, though, was avoiding tying himself to the existing agenda. By forcing the opposition to own the massive failure they'd allowed, he received a powerful mandate and that is what made the New Deal possible.

Sweeping reform doesn't happen just because you have the Presidency (see Bill Clinton). It doesn't happen just because you control Congress (see now). True reform (banking oversight, insurance and healthcare reform, limits on spending, increases in FDIC coverage, mortgage security etc) can only happen if politics is not a concern, and that only occurs with a mandate from the people. FDR knew how you get that mandate. You don't tie your own hands to make a two month period slightly less painful and a bad administration look slightly less ugly.

So go House Republicans! Thank you for having such delicate sensibilities that you inadvertantly saved us from our own spinelessness! Thank you for being even dumber than we are! Rah rah rah, go GOP! Hooray Fiscal Conservatism, amirite?

Now lets all stop worrying about placating the right and lets all stop crying about praising the right. Let's get together a small Progressive bill that will hold us over for a few months. Not 700 Billion free; 100 Billion focused and directed, and maybe less. Let's ram a Bill we like down their throats with full Democratic support. Bush wouldn't dare veto in the environment he himself has created. Then let's ride the inevitable down turn that no bill will prevent until we get to an Obama Presidency and lets get that New New Deal we've been talking about.


M. It's like W, but flipflopped.
by warmwaterpenguin on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 02:01:59 PM EST

Re: Wrong motives, right move (none / 0)

You are always one of the best posters here.

Really good stuff.


On Nov 4th, we elected "the smart guy" and the world celebrated!
by WashStateBlue on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 02:23:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I always enjoy your posts too=). (none / 0)

Thank you very much for the compliment. Considering some of the great stuff we've got on here, I consider it extremely high praise.


M. It's like W, but flipflopped.
by warmwaterpenguin on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 02:43:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Give Money To Trans-National Bankers? (none / 0)

They will just move it all off-shore, of course. The only things worth financing are infrastructure and productive enterprises. Bad business "deals" do not need to be bailed out. Why give away our money to irresponsible bankers?

We need to support industries and farmers. Certainly not bankers! We cannot begin to afford such insanity!


by blues on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 02:04:25 PM EST

Have you considered this line of reasoning? (2.00 / 1)

That the damage has already been done and we are in a "Weekend at Bernie's" Economy?

Or that Hank Paulson is like Wile E. Coyote, whose body has already began plunging to the canyon floor, while his head and arms hold up a "HELP" sign?

When the economy was based on debt and the creditors have come knocking, there is no solution that involves more debt.

Such "solutions" only dig a deeper whole and prolong the decline. Such "solutions" have been tried since Nixon and guess what...

THEY DON'T WORK! THEY ONLY MAKE THINGS WORSE! AND PROLONG THE DECLINE!

The Democrats need to be the party of the real economy, i.e. production in excess of consumption and the savings differential invested in technological progress.

THE ONLY PLAN THAT WORKS!


by Paul Goodman on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 02:10:14 PM EST

Lotta good posts here (none / 0)

But lighten up on 'the sky is falling'. Most economists not trying to hype Paulson's deal don't believe we're entering Great Depression II.

The economy is entering a recession. Housing and the stock market are over-valued. How over-valued is where 'sky is falling' hype gets its energy. Over-valuation depends on fairly stable beliefs and on investors needing to keep their money in the system somewhere. I don't think we're psychologically entering a period of completely lost faith in the U.S. economy and its assets. That's hype and despair getting a little out of hand.


We can no longer afford to worship the god of hate or bow before the altar of retaliation. Martin Luther King Jr.
by fairleft on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 04:36:57 PM EST

Re: Lotta good posts here (2.00 / 0)

Fairleft, care to comment on the credit crunch issue?

No, you are correct, most economists are NOT saying we entering Great DepressionII the sequel.

Almost ALL are alarmed by the tightening of the global credit market.

Do you think Paul Krugmann is a "sky is falling" alarmist?

Do you think we should nothing and just roll the dice?


On Nov 4th, we elected "the smart guy" and the world celebrated!
by WashStateBlue on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 04:45:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Lotta good posts here (2.00 / 1)

If we don't pass a bailout the govt will still be doing plenty. Lots of banks and other financial instutions will be taken over. We need some devaluation and bankruptcy is a way to get there.

The things we should not do is prop up the value of financial stock or the value of housing, and those two seem the two focuses of all the bailout and rescue talk. Everything but those two things we should do to boost the real economy.


We can no longer afford to worship the god of hate or bow before the altar of retaliation. Martin Luther King Jr.
by fairleft on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 05:23:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Lotta good posts here (2.00 / 0)

Thanks

WSB


On Nov 4th, we elected "the smart guy" and the world celebrated!
by WashStateBlue on Tue Sep 30, 2008 at 05:25:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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